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Dogecoin in the Danger Zone: How Bearish Reversal Could Slash Prices by 40%

Dogecoin’s price is currently trapped in a bearish reversal pattern, potentially leading the meme coin to revisit its previous lows.

Sometimes, bearish market trends are altered by investors. However, this time, investors’ behavior does not appear very bullish either.

Dogecoin Will See Some Drawdown

Dogecoin price is exhibiting signs of an increase on the 8-hour chart, but when the extended candlesticks are taken into consideration, a bearish pattern forms. To make it worse, investors may not be able to invalidate it either.

This is because the rising profits will likely trigger profit-taking among DOGE holders. The same can be observed in the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio.

The MVRV ratio gauges investor profit/loss. Dogecoin’s current 30-day MVRV stands at 9.2%, indicating profit, which may trigger selling. Historical data suggests DOGE corrections typically happen within the 8% and 18% MVRV range, labeling it a danger zone.

Thus, as the price and profits climb, MVRV will, too, and so will investors’ potential to sell.

Dogecoin MVRV Ratio.
Dogecoin MVRV Ratio. Source: Santiment

This is further substantiated by the total supply in profits. At times, when the profitable supply hits 95% of the total circulating DOGE, a market top is formed, which is synonymous with corrections as the market cools down.

Given that the profitable supply is at 90% at the moment, it would not be surprising if the coming days note a market top. This would further increase the bearishness, which could lead to a decline in price.

Dogecoin Supply in Profit.
Dogecoin Supply in Profit. Source: Santiment

DOGE Price Prediction: A 40% Correction

Dogecoin’s price at the time of writing is trading at $0.206. Although recent gains might suggest an impending rally, a longer-term timeframe indicates otherwise. The meme coin is currently stuck in a rising wedge.

This bearish reversal pattern is characterized by converging trend lines slanting upward. It suggests a significant downward price movement, indicating weakening momentum.

According to this pattern, the target for Dogecoin price is set at $0.127, which marks a near 40% correction.

Read More: Dogecoin (DOGE) vs Shiba Inu (SHIB): What’s the Difference?

DOGE/USDT 8-hour chart.
DOGE/USDT 8-hour chart. Source: TradingView

However, if the pattern breaches through the upper trend line’s resistance or tests $0.22 as a support floor, invalidation of the bullish thesis is likely. Consequently, Dogecoin price will continue rallying towards $0.24 and beyond.

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In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.


In conclusion, Dogecoin is currently displaying bearish signals that indicate a potential price correction. The rising profits and Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio suggest that investors may start taking profits, leading to a decline in price. Historical data shows that corrections typically occur within a specific MVRV range, signaling a danger zone for Dogecoin. Additionally, as the profitable supply reaches a high percentage of the total circulating DOGE, a market top may form, leading to a decrease in price. The bearish reversal pattern on the chart indicates a possible 40% correction in Dogecoin’s price if the pattern is confirmed. Investors should monitor these factors closely to make informed decisions regarding their Dogecoin holdings.

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